New Brunswick election

For me personally the election in New Brunswick is kind of depressing. It was a massive Tory landslide. The Liberals were wiped out in Fredericton and Saint John. The very forceful strength for the Tories in Northern Francophone New Brunswick continues even without Bernard Lord as leader. Of course it is important to remember that this result does not show an embrace for the right as it would in many other provinces, or other countries. The New Brunswick PCs have always been a moderate brand of Conservatives who never have had specifically right-wing policies. There was very little right wing in the Tory platform and the Tories actually were to the left of the Liberals on the issue of tax cuts. That being said, the Liberals did run to the left of the Tories in some respects, notably in that it was the Liberals who promised a prescription drug government program. Nevertheless the New Brunswick Tory leadership continues to be Reddish Tory so one should not likely expect a hard right shift in governance in New Brunswick. This lack of polarization in New Brunswick (which is in contrast to the polarization we have seen in Ontario especially during the Harris years) could explain why the New Brunswick Tories in 1999 and 2010 have been able to sweep the province to an extent that former Ontario premier Mike Harris never could.

The landslide was so strong that Larry Kennedy, the Victoria-Tobique Liberal MLA who survived the 1999 Lord landslide was defeated in this election. Granted, that part of the province has shifted to the right federally since the 1999 provincial election. One bright spot from the Liberals perspective was that Liberal Chris Collins was re-elected in Moncton East – former Tory Premier Bernard Lord’s old riding. He won it by less than 200 votes but it was still major trend bucking. It makes some sense that he won it – he was the only incumbent Liberal running for re-election in a riding with the word Moncton in it, and Moncton is more Liberal than Fredericton or Saint John. Collins was originally a New Democrat, running for the NDP in the 1987 New Brunswick election. Needless to say he was defeated in this election because the New Brunswick Liberals won every single seat in the legislature. In 2003 he was inspired to run against Bernard Lord in his own riding when he found that the government and his local MLA, Mr. Lord, were not giving him enough government services to treat his son Sean for cancer. His son was being treated in Halifax and the government was not paying for the trips to visit his son in the hospital. In the 2003 election Collins lost to Lord by only 10% of the vote. Collins was elected to Moncton City Council in 2004. When the 2006 election came, Collins couldn’t run against Lord because he was travelling with his son outside the country at the time. However Lord resigned his seat when he lost the premiership and Collins easily won a March 2007 by-election. Unfortunately his son Sean passed away from cancer in July 2007 at the age of 13. After this tragedy, Collins was appointed to the provincial cabinet and was Minister for Local Government at the time of the 2010 election. He gets to be in opposition with 12 other members as the Liberals lick their severe wounds.